Tradesight May 2021 Futures Results
Before we get to May's numbers, here is a short reminder of the results from April. The full report from April can be found here. You can also go back indefinitely by clicking here and scrolling down.
Tradesight Tick Results for April 2021
Number of trades: 24
Number of losers: 5
Winning percentage: 79.2%
Net ticks: +140.5
Reminder: Here are the rules.
1) Totals for the month are based on trades that occurred on trading days in the calendar month.
2) Trades are based on the calls in the Twitter feed exactly as we call them and manage them as well as the Opening Range plays under the basic strategy we teach for those in our course. We do not count everything you could have done from taking our courses and using our tools.
3) All trades are broken into two pieces, with the assumption that one half is sold at the first target and one half is sold at the final exit. These are then averaged. So if we made 6 ticks on one half and 12 on the second, that’s a 9-tick winner.
4) Pure losers (trades that just stop out) are considered 7 tick losers. We don’t risk more than that in the Twitter calls.
It is important to note that these results do not include the Tradesight Value Area or Institutional Range plays, all of which have been working quite well on their own.
You can go through the reports and compare the breakdown that I give as each trade is reviewed.
Tradesight Tick Results for May 2021
Number of trades: 23
Number of losers: 5
Winning percentage: 78.3%
Net ticks: +85
About the same number of trades in May as April, and we had about the same win ratio, but the net gains for the month were less because we had less big winners in a tighter market. No complaints.
Tradesight May 2021 Forex Results
Before we get to the May numbers, here is a short reminder of the results from April. The full report from April can be found here and you can get the last several months in a row vertically by clicking here and scrolling down.
Tradesight Pip Results for April 2021
Number of trades: 18
Number of losers: 7
Winning percentage: 38.9%
Worst losing streak: 1
Net pips: +220
Reminder: Here are the rules.
1) Calls made in the calendar month count. In other words, a call made on August 31 that triggered the morning of September 1 is not part of September. Calls made on Thursday, September 30 that triggered between then and the morning of October 1 ARE part of September.
2) Trades that triggered before 8 pm EST / 5 pm PST (i.e. pre Asia) and NEVER gave you a chance to re-enter are NOT counted. Everything else is counted equally.
3) All trades are broken into two pieces, with the assumption that one half is sold at the first target and one half is sold at the final exit. These are then averaged. So if we made 40 pips on one half and 60 on the second, that’s a 50-pip winner. If we made 40 pips on one half, never adjusted our stop, and the second half stopped for the 25 pip loser, then that’s a 7 pip winner (15 divided by 2 is 7.5, and I rounded down).
4) Pure losers (trades that just stop out) are considered 25 pip losers. In some cases, this can be a few more or a few less, but it should average right in there, so instead of making it complicated, I count them as 25 pips.
5) Trade re-entries are valid if a trade stops except between 3 am EST and 9 am EST (when I’m sleeping). So in other words, even if you are awake in those hours and you could have re-entered, I’m only counting things that I would have done. This is important because otherwise the implication is that you need to be awake 24/6. Triggers that occur right on the Big Three news announcements each month don’t count as you shouldn’t have orders in that close at that time.
You can go through the reports and compare the breakdown that I give as each trade is reviewed.
Tradesight Pip Results for May 2021
Number of trades: 9
Number of losers: 4
Winning percentage: 55.5%
Worst losing streak: 2
Net pips: +65
That was weird. One of the lightest Forex trading months in the 17 years that we have been doing this. Only 9 official calls triggered. We still had gains and still won over 50%, but what a slow month.
Tradesight Recap Report for 8/16/21
Overview
Markets gapped down and pushed sharply lower, giving us a great trading day in every way, but then bottomed out ahead of lunch and climbed all the way back to fill the gaps and close barely green on 3.9 billion NASDAQ shares. Volume was heavy early and light as we rallied. Weird day but great for us.
ES with Levels:
ES with Market Directional:
Futures:
ES Opening Range Play triggered short at A and worked:
NQ Opening Range Play triggered long at A and short at B, both too far out of range to take:
Results: +7.5 ticks
Forex:
GBPUSD triggered short at A under the Pivot and stopped, triggered short again later, closed for a small gain for end of session after it went nowhere:
Results: -20 pips
Stocks:
From the Tradesight Plus report, SSSS triggered long (without market support) and didn't go enough to count or look at, closed at the trigger.
EBAY triggered long (without market support due to opening 5 minutes) and worked:
AAPL triggered long (without market support) and didn't work, worked later:
ADPT triggered short (without market support due to opening 5 minutes) and worked:
APPS triggered short (with market support) and didn't work:
From the Tradesight Plus Twitter feed, Rich's BNTX triggered short (with market support) and worked:
His FUTU triggered short (with market support) and worked:
TWTR triggered short (with market support) and worked:
Rich's TWLO triggered short (with market support) and worked:
That’s 6 triggers with market support, 4 of them worked and 2 didn’t.
Tradesight April 2021 Stock Results
Tradesight has been providing stock calls daily since 2002. We post the results of our of our trades, winners and losers, in our reports and Market Blog every day. Some people might find it surprising to learn that while we track our Futures and Forex formal trade call results monthly, we don’t post anything beyond the trade reviews on our Stocks calls.
There is actually a very specific reason for this. I’ve never been a fan of trying to “hype” or “promote” something. Being profitable in trading is about learning what to do and getting yourself to make the right decisions. In Futures as well as in Forex, if we publish a call in advance, just about everyone should get the same fills and be able to get in and out at almost the same numbers. That isn’t always the case in stocks. It depends on how many shares you are trading and what the liquidity in the market for that stock is at the time. For that reason, I have already been hesitant to say “These are the exact results.” I would never want to try to suggest that someone would make a certain amount of dollars trading a certain number of shares or make a certain percentage. If I take a trade and sell it for a $0.30 gain, it makes a big statistical difference if someone else had to pay $0.05 more to get in and maybe got out for $0.02 less. That’s $0.23 instead of $0.30 even though the concept of the trade was fine.
However, after many requests, in October 2015, we started posting our results. You can see these monthly here.
In our system, you can basically break trades down into four categories: Big losers, small losers, small winners, and big winners.
In order to have any chance of succeeding in the markets, you have to have a system. There is no other way around it. I’ve been trading for 20 years now, and I’ve trained over 1000 people. You don’t make money if you don’t have a technically valid system for entry and exits.
Of the four categories of trades listed above, we simply don’t allow any of the first category, which is big losers. We always have a worst-case stop and we always stick to it. There should never be a scenario where you are still in a trade that is causing a significant loss if you follow our rules.
In terms of the other three categories, generally speaking, if you have about a third of your trades fall into each category, you should be making good money. In other words, if we have about 33% of our trades as small losers and 33% of trades as small winners, those basically would offset. That leaves the other 33% of so only as bigger winners, and that’s what we are here for. In our world, we count a loser as a trade that stops out (stops in our system are based on the price-level of the stock). We count a small winner as a trade that goes enough to make a partial and then either stops the second half of the trade under the entry or stops the second half of the trade slightly in the money, but no more than the partial was or so. Then the big winners are anything that keeps going beyond the partial.
So these were the results for March, which you can view here.
Tradesight Stock Results for March 2021
Number of trade calls that triggered with market support: 53
Number (and percent of total) of small losers: 17 (32.1%)
Number (and percent of total) of small winners: 8 (15.1%)
Number (and percent of total) of big winners: 28 (52.8%)
And for April?
Tradesight Stock Results for April 2021
Number of trade calls that triggered with market support: 34
Number (and percent of total) of small losers: 9 (26.5%)
Number (and percent of total) of small winners: 11 (32.3%)
Number (and percent of total) of big winners: 14 (41.2%)
Another solid month, although we suddenly had several days without triggers, so our official trade count with market support dropped from 53 in March to 34 in April. Still, our win ratio remains around 75% and we had some big winners. Nothing to complain about.
Tradesight April 2021 Futures Results
Before we get to April's numbers, here is a short reminder of the results from March. The full report from March can be found here. You can also go back indefinitely by clicking here and scrolling down.
Tradesight Tick Results for March 2021
Number of trades: 27
Number of losers: 6
Winning percentage: 77.8%
Net ticks: +79.5
Reminder: Here are the rules.
1) Totals for the month are based on trades that occurred on trading days in the calendar month.
2) Trades are based on the calls in the Twitter feed exactly as we call them and manage them as well as the Opening Range plays under the basic strategy we teach for those in our course. We do not count everything you could have done from taking our courses and using our tools.
3) All trades are broken into two pieces, with the assumption that one half is sold at the first target and one half is sold at the final exit. These are then averaged. So if we made 6 ticks on one half and 12 on the second, that’s a 9-tick winner.
4) Pure losers (trades that just stop out) are considered 7 tick losers. We don’t risk more than that in the Twitter calls.
It is important to note that these results do not include the Tradesight Value Area or Institutional Range plays, all of which have been working quite well on their own.
You can go through the reports and compare the breakdown that I give as each trade is reviewed.
Tradesight Tick Results for April 2021
Number of trades: 24
Number of losers: 5
Winning percentage: 79.2%
Net ticks: +140.5
Even though we ran 3 less futures trades (officially) in April than March, we nearly doubled our gains. Our win ratio was around 80%, which is terrific.
Tradesight April 2021 Forex Results
Before we get to the April numbers, here is a short reminder of the results from March. The full report from March can be found here and you can get the last several months in a row vertically by clicking here and scrolling down.
Tradesight Pip Results for March 2021
Number of trades: 15
Number of losers: 2
Winning percentage: 86.7%
Worst losing streak: 1
Net pips: +160
Reminder: Here are the rules.
1) Calls made in the calendar month count. In other words, a call made on August 31 that triggered the morning of September 1 is not part of September. Calls made on Thursday, September 30 that triggered between then and the morning of October 1 ARE part of September.
2) Trades that triggered before 8 pm EST / 5 pm PST (i.e. pre Asia) and NEVER gave you a chance to re-enter are NOT counted. Everything else is counted equally.
3) All trades are broken into two pieces, with the assumption that one half is sold at the first target and one half is sold at the final exit. These are then averaged. So if we made 40 pips on one half and 60 on the second, that’s a 50-pip winner. If we made 40 pips on one half, never adjusted our stop, and the second half stopped for the 25 pip loser, then that’s a 7 pip winner (15 divided by 2 is 7.5, and I rounded down).
4) Pure losers (trades that just stop out) are considered 25 pip losers. In some cases, this can be a few more or a few less, but it should average right in there, so instead of making it complicated, I count them as 25 pips.
5) Trade re-entries are valid if a trade stops except between 3 am EST and 9 am EST (when I’m sleeping). So in other words, even if you are awake in those hours and you could have re-entered, I’m only counting things that I would have done. This is important because otherwise the implication is that you need to be awake 24/6. Triggers that occur right on the Big Three news announcements each month don’t count as you shouldn’t have orders in that close at that time.
You can go through the reports and compare the breakdown that I give as each trade is reviewed.
Tradesight Pip Results for April 2021
Number of trades: 18
Number of losers: 7
Winning percentage: 38.9%
Worst losing streak: 1
Net pips: +220
Each month seems to get better in 2021 for Forex. Our win ratio stayed above 60%, and there were some bigger winners, so the net of the month is a solid 220 pips. Hopefully, this continues until we hit the summer slowdown.
Tradesight Plus Report for 8-16-21
Opening comments posted to YouTube. Who knows what to expect after last week. We get what we get.
Longs first, in the order of best constructions, starting with SSSS > 16.25:
AAPL > 150.00:
EBAY > 74.15:
On the short side, ADPT < 31.26:
APPS < 53.02:
Tradesight March 2021 Stock Results
Tradesight has been providing stock calls daily since 2002. We post the results of our of our trades, winners and losers, in our reports and Market Blog every day. Some people might find it surprising to learn that while we track our Futures and Forex formal trade call results monthly, we don’t post anything beyond the trade reviews on our Stocks calls.
There is actually a very specific reason for this. I’ve never been a fan of trying to “hype” or “promote” something. Being profitable in trading is about learning what to do and getting yourself to make the right decisions. In Futures as well as in Forex, if we publish a call in advance, just about everyone should get the same fills and be able to get in and out at almost the same numbers. That isn’t always the case in stocks. It depends on how many shares you are trading and what the liquidity in the market for that stock is at the time. For that reason, I have already been hesitant to say “These are the exact results.” I would never want to try to suggest that someone would make a certain amount of dollars trading a certain number of shares or make a certain percentage. If I take a trade and sell it for a $0.30 gain, it makes a big statistical difference if someone else had to pay $0.05 more to get in and maybe got out for $0.02 less. That’s $0.23 instead of $0.30 even though the concept of the trade was fine.
However, after many requests, in October 2015, we started posting our results. You can see these monthly here.
In our system, you can basically break trades down into four categories: Big losers, small losers, small winners, and big winners.
In order to have any chance of succeeding in the markets, you have to have a system. There is no other way around it. I’ve been trading for 20 years now, and I’ve trained over 1000 people. You don’t make money if you don’t have a technically valid system for entry and exits.
Of the four categories of trades listed above, we simply don’t allow any of the first category, which is big losers. We always have a worst-case stop and we always stick to it. There should never be a scenario where you are still in a trade that is causing a significant loss if you follow our rules.
In terms of the other three categories, generally speaking, if you have about a third of your trades fall into each category, you should be making good money. In other words, if we have about 33% of our trades as small losers and 33% of trades as small winners, those basically would offset. That leaves the other 33% of so only as bigger winners, and that’s what we are here for. In our world, we count a loser as a trade that stops out (stops in our system are based on the price-level of the stock). We count a small winner as a trade that goes enough to make a partial and then either stops the second half of the trade under the entry or stops the second half of the trade slightly in the money, but no more than the partial was or so. Then the big winners are anything that keeps going beyond the partial.
So these were the results for February, which you can view here.
Tradesight Stock Results for February 2021
Number of trade calls that triggered with market support: 43
Number (and percent of total) of small losers: 11 (25.6%)
Number (and percent of total) of small winners: 12 (27.9%)
Number (and percent of total) of big winners: 20 (46.5%)
And for March?
Tradesight Stock Results for March 2021
Number of trade calls that triggered with market support: 53
Number (and percent of total) of small losers: 17 (32.1%)
Number (and percent of total) of small winners: 8 (15.1%)
Number (and percent of total) of big winners: 28 (52.8%)
Tradesight March 2021 Futures Results
Before we get to March's numbers, here is a short reminder of the results from February. The full report from February can be found here. You can also go back indefinitely by clicking here and scrolling down.
Tradesight Tick Results for February 2021
Number of trades: 21
Number of losers: 6
Winning percentage: 71.4%
Net ticks: +65
Reminder: Here are the rules.
1) Totals for the month are based on trades that occurred on trading days in the calendar month.
2) Trades are based on the calls in the Twitter feed exactly as we call them and manage them as well as the Opening Range plays under the basic strategy we teach for those in our course. We do not count everything you could have done from taking our courses and using our tools.
3) All trades are broken into two pieces, with the assumption that one half is sold at the first target and one half is sold at the final exit. These are then averaged. So if we made 6 ticks on one half and 12 on the second, that’s a 9-tick winner.
4) Pure losers (trades that just stop out) are considered 7 tick losers. We don’t risk more than that in the Twitter calls.
It is important to note that these results do not include the Tradesight Value Area or Institutional Range plays, all of which have been working quite well on their own.
You can go through the reports and compare the breakdown that I give as each trade is reviewed.
Tradesight Tick Results for March 2021
Number of trades: 27
Number of losers: 6
Winning percentage: 77.8%
Net ticks: +79.5
Another wonderful month in futures as things start to pick up a bit. We had a decent number of trades, few losses, and a couple of huge winners to push us over the top.
Tradesight March 2021 Forex Results
Before we get to the March numbers, here is a short reminder of the results from February. The full report from February can be found here and you can get the last several months in a row vertically by clicking here and scrolling down.
Tradesight Pip Results for February 2021
Number of trades: 10
Number of losers: 4
Winning percentage: 60%
Worst losing streak: 1
Net pips: +84
Reminder: Here are the rules.
1) Calls made in the calendar month count. In other words, a call made on August 31 that triggered the morning of September 1 is not part of September. Calls made on Thursday, September 30 that triggered between then and the morning of October 1 ARE part of September.
2) Trades that triggered before 8 pm EST / 5 pm PST (i.e. pre Asia) and NEVER gave you a chance to re-enter are NOT counted. Everything else is counted equally.
3) All trades are broken into two pieces, with the assumption that one half is sold at the first target and one half is sold at the final exit. These are then averaged. So if we made 40 pips on one half and 60 on the second, that’s a 50-pip winner. If we made 40 pips on one half, never adjusted our stop, and the second half stopped for the 25 pip loser, then that’s a 7 pip winner (15 divided by 2 is 7.5, and I rounded down).
4) Pure losers (trades that just stop out) are considered 25 pip losers. In some cases, this can be a few more or a few less, but it should average right in there, so instead of making it complicated, I count them as 25 pips.
5) Trade re-entries are valid if a trade stops except between 3 am EST and 9 am EST (when I’m sleeping). So in other words, even if you are awake in those hours and you could have re-entered, I’m only counting things that I would have done. This is important because otherwise the implication is that you need to be awake 24/6. Triggers that occur right on the Big Three news announcements each month don’t count as you shouldn’t have orders in that close at that time.
You can go through the reports and compare the breakdown that I give as each trade is reviewed.
Tradesight Pip Results for March 2021
Number of trades: 15
Number of losers: 2
Winning percentage: 86.7%
Worst losing streak: 1
Net pips: +160
Well this was an unusual case month. We had several days where Forex was so flat that nothing triggered, but we still had more trades than last month. The best part was...only 2 losing trades! Nice net gain for the month at 160 pips.