Before we get to October’s numbers, here is a short reminder of the results from September. The full report from September can be found here and you can get the last several months in a row vertically by clicking here and scrolling down.
Tradesight Pip Results for September 2013
Number of trades: 22
Number of losers: 8
Winning percentage: 63.6%
Worst losing streak: 2 in a row
Net pips: +175
Reminder: Here are the rules.
1) Calls made in the calendar month count. In other words, a call made on August 31 that triggered the morning of September 1 is not part of September. Calls made on Thursday, September 30 that triggered between then and the morning of October 1 ARE part of September.
2) Trades that triggered before 8 pm EST / 5 pm PST (i.e. pre Asia) and NEVER gave you a chance to re-enter are NOT counted. Everything else is counted equally.
3) All trades are broken into two pieces, with the assumption that one half is sold at the first target and one half is sold at the final exit. These are then averaged. So if we made 40 pips on one half and 60 on the second, that’s a 50-pip winner. If we made 40 pips on one half, never adjusted our stop, and the second half stopped for the 25 pip loser, then that’s a 7 pip winner (15 divided by 2 is 7.5, and I rounded down).
4) Pure losers (trades that just stop out) are considered 25 pip losers. In some cases, this can be a few more or a few less, but it should average right in there, so instead of making it complicated, I count them as 25 pips.
5) Trade re-entries are valid if a trade stops except between 3 am EST and 9 am EST (when I’m sleeping). So in other words, even if you are awake in those hours and you could have re-entered, I’m only counting things that I would have done. This is important because otherwise the implication is that you need to be awake 24/6. Triggers that occur right on the Big Three news announcements each month don’t count as you shouldn’t have orders in that close at that time.
You can go through the reports and compare the breakdown that I give as each trade is reviewed.
Tradesight Pip Results for October 2013
Number of trades: 24
Number of losers: 10
Winning percentage: 58.3%
Worst losing streak: 2 in a row
Net pips: +275
We remain half size in our Forex trading as the ranges have not returned since the end of summer. Currently, the US government shutdown is making the situation worse, and there is no reason to return to full size until that ends and the ranges expand. The EURUSD and GBPUSD both saw their 6-month average daily ranges drop about 4-5 pips during the month. Overall, we still did well. We had less trades trigger than usual. There was a Holiday to start the month, but there were also days with no trades that triggered. Our win ratio was solid at 63.6, and there were a few plays that led to bigger winners. Overall, nothing to complain about considering the environment.